Liberia First Division · LR

Shaita FC vs Golden Dream

28 Oct 2026 · 13:30

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a draw. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

The home side have too few recent results available for a meaningful summary.

The visitors have too few recent results available for a meaningful summary.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 2.88 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 3.06. At this price, a draw does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365

HOME

Shaita FC

STOCHASTICBET 33.5%

BET365 34.3% odd 2.63

DIFFERENCE -0.9 pp

DRAW MODEL > MARKET

Draw

STOCHASTICBET 32.6%

BET365 31.3% odd 2.88

DIFFERENCE +1.3 pp

AWAY

Golden Dream

STOCHASTICBET 33.9%

BET365 34.3% odd 2.63

DIFFERENCE -0.4 pp

STOCHASTICBET

BET365 MARKET

Market · BET365 Snapshot · 27 Oct 2026 · 17:11

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Golden Dream

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Shaita FC Golden Dream

Shots 6.8 · On target 2.0 Shots 8.0 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Golden Dream, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Shaita FC Golden Dream

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Shaita FC Golden Dream

The combined recent performance profile favours Golden Dream.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Historical odds not available for this match.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data

RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.

Shaita FC · individual matches

Date	Venue	Result	Shots for/against	On target for/against
07/06/2026	Away	1–2	5 / 5	1 / 4

Golden Dream · individual matches

Date	Venue	Result	Shots for/against	On target for/against

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.