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Algeria U20 League · DZ

USM Annaba U20 vs ES Guelma U20

28 Oct 2026 · 13:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for a home win for USM Annaba U20. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 1.07 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.10. At this price, a home win for USM Annaba U20 does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
USM Annaba U20
STOCHASTICBET 90.5%
BET365 85.9% odd 1.07
DIFFERENCE +4.6 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 6.6%
BET365 9.2% odd 10.00
DIFFERENCE -2.6 pp
AWAY
ES Guelma U20
STOCHASTICBET 2.9%
BET365 4.8% odd 19.00
DIFFERENCE -1.9 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 28 Oct 2026 · 05:41
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

USM Annaba U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
USM Annaba U20 ES Guelma U20
Shots 2.8 · On target 1.5 Shots 1.0 · On target 0.5

Recent attacking output favours USM Annaba U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
USM Annaba U20 ES Guelma U20
Shots allowed 0.5 · On target allowed 0.5 Shots allowed 1.5 · On target allowed 1.0

USM Annaba U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
USM Annaba U20 ES Guelma U20

The combined recent performance profile favours USM Annaba U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-28 07:23:01

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.