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England National League Division 1 Women · GB

Chorley (W) vs AFC Fylde Women

29 Oct 2026 · 21:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for an away win for AFC Fylde Women. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 1.22 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.35. At this price, an away win for AFC Fylde Women does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME
Chorley (W)
STOCHASTICBET 8.6%
BET365 9.0% odd 10.00
DIFFERENCE -0.4 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 17.3%
BET365 17.2% odd 5.25
DIFFERENCE +0.1 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
AFC Fylde Women
STOCHASTICBET 74.1%
BET365 73.8% odd 1.22
DIFFERENCE +0.3 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 28 Oct 2026 · 16:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Chorley (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Chorley (W) AFC Fylde Women
Shots 7.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 6.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Chorley (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Chorley (W) AFC Fylde Women
Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 1.8

AFC Fylde Women has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Chorley (W) AFC Fylde Women

The combined recent performance profile favours AFC Fylde Women.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-29 20:33:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.