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Israel Cup · IL

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

28 Oct 2026 · 18:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for a home win for Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 2.35 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.39. At this price, a home win for Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
STOCHASTICBET 41.9%
BET365 38.4% odd 2.35
DIFFERENCE +3.5 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 28.5%
BET365 28.2% odd 3.20
DIFFERENCE +0.3 pp
AWAY
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
STOCHASTICBET 29.6%
BET365 33.4% odd 2.70
DIFFERENCE -3.8 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 28 Oct 2026 · 14:21
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Shots 20.0 · On target 6.8 Shots 12.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-28 17:13:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Historical odds not available for this match.