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Israel Liga Alef South · IL

Sderot vs Ironi Beit Shemesh

30 Oct 2026 · 11:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for an away win for Ironi Beit Shemesh. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 3.00 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 3.24. At this price, an away win for Ironi Beit Shemesh does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME
Sderot
STOCHASTICBET 43.3%
BET365 44.7% odd 2.00
DIFFERENCE -1.4 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 25.8%
BET365 25.5% odd 3.50
DIFFERENCE +0.3 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Ironi Beit Shemesh
STOCHASTICBET 30.9%
BET365 29.8% odd 3.00
DIFFERENCE +1.1 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 29 Oct 2026 · 14:01
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Ironi Beit Shemesh

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output
Sderot Ironi Beit Shemesh
Shots 3.3 · On target 1.3 Shots 9.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Ironi Beit Shemesh, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Sderot Ironi Beit Shemesh
Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 6.8

Sderot has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Sderot Ironi Beit Shemesh

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-29 20:33:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Historical odds not available for this match.