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Israel Liga Bet South · IL

Hapoel Yeruham vs Bnei Eilat

30 Oct 2026 · 11:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for Hapoel Yeruham. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 4.50 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 4.50. At this price, a home win for Hapoel Yeruham does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Hapoel Yeruham
STOCHASTICBET 22.2%
BET365 20.0% odd 4.50
DIFFERENCE +2.2 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 20.4%
BET365 20.0% odd 4.50
DIFFERENCE +0.4 pp
AWAY
Bnei Eilat
STOCHASTICBET 57.4%
BET365 60.0% odd 1.50
DIFFERENCE -2.6 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 29 Oct 2026 · 14:01
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Hapoel Yeruham

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output
Hapoel Yeruham Bnei Eilat
Shots 4.0 · On target 1.3 Shots 3.8 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Yeruham, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Hapoel Yeruham Bnei Eilat
Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Hapoel Yeruham Bnei Eilat

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-29 21:23:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Historical odds not available for this match.