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Portugal Campeonato Nacional · PT

Alcochetense vs Juventude Desportiva Lajense

08 Nov 2026 · 12:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for Alcochetense. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.36 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.48. At this price, a home win for Alcochetense does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Alcochetense
STOCHASTICBET 67.6%
PINNACLE 65.6% odd 1.36
DIFFERENCE +2.0 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 19.0%
PINNACLE 19.6% odd 4.55
DIFFERENCE -0.6 pp
AWAY
Juventude Desportiva Lajense
STOCHASTICBET 13.4%
PINNACLE 14.8% odd 6.03
DIFFERENCE -1.4 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 01:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Alcochetense has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Alcochetense Juventude Desportiva Lajense
Shots 7.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 7.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Alcochetense Juventude Desportiva Lajense
Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Alcochetense has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Alcochetense Juventude Desportiva Lajense

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.