← Match Center
Senegal Premier League · SN

Teungueth FC vs ASC HLM

08 Nov 2026 · 17:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for Teungueth FC. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 1.91 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.03. At this price, a home win for Teungueth FC does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Teungueth FC
STOCHASTICBET 49.2%
BET365 46.8% odd 1.91
DIFFERENCE +2.4 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 33.1%
BET365 32.5% odd 2.75
DIFFERENCE +0.5 pp
AWAY
ASC HLM
STOCHASTICBET 17.7%
BET365 20.6% odd 4.33
DIFFERENCE -2.9 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 12:21
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Defensive Edge: Teungueth FC

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Teungueth FC ASC HLM
Shots 9.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 8.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Teungueth FC ASC HLM
Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.8

Teungueth FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Teungueth FC ASC HLM

The combined recent performance profile favours Teungueth FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-08 16:33:01

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.