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Estonia Esiliiga · EE

Viimsi JK vs JK Nomme Kalju II

08 Nov 2026 · 11:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for Viimsi JK. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.16 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.24. At this price, a home win for Viimsi JK does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Viimsi JK
STOCHASTICBET 80.5%
PINNACLE 78.0% odd 1.16
DIFFERENCE +2.5 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 11.4%
PINNACLE 12.2% odd 7.37
DIFFERENCE -0.9 pp
AWAY
JK Nomme Kalju II
STOCHASTICBET 8.1%
PINNACLE 9.8% odd 9.22
DIFFERENCE -1.7 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 10:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Viimsi JK has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Viimsi JK JK Nomme Kalju II
Shots 12.3 · On target 6.0 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Viimsi JK, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Viimsi JK JK Nomme Kalju II
Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Viimsi JK has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Viimsi JK JK Nomme Kalju II

The combined recent performance profile favours Viimsi JK.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-08 10:33:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +0.55 pp —
DRAW -0.29 pp —
AWAY -0.26 pp —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.