← Match Center
Senegal Ligue 2 · SN

Dakar FC vs NGB Niarry Tally

08 Nov 2026 · 17:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a clear model-market difference for a home win for Dakar FC. The model is meaningfully more favourable to this outcome than the market.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

The available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 2.20 exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.98. This suggests a potential pricing advantage for a home win for Dakar FC, although the difference alone is not enough to establish a reliable betting opportunity. The assessment applies only before kick-off.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Dakar FC
STOCHASTICBET 50.4%
BET365 40.8% odd 2.20
DIFFERENCE +9.7 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 30.1%
BET365 31.2% odd 2.88
DIFFERENCE -1.1 pp
AWAY
NGB Niarry Tally
STOCHASTICBET 19.4%
BET365 28.0% odd 3.20
DIFFERENCE -8.6 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 07 Nov 2026 · 14:21
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Dakar FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Dakar FC NGB Niarry Tally
Shots 7.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 2.8 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours Dakar FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Dakar FC NGB Niarry Tally
Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Dakar FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Dakar FC NGB Niarry Tally

The combined recent performance profile favours Dakar FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-08 16:33:01

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.