England National League Division 1 Women · GB

Durham Cestria (W) vs Leeds (W)

08 Nov 2026 · 15:00

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for an away win for Leeds (W). The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 1.29 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.34. At this price, an away win for Leeds (W) does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365

HOME

Durham Cestria (W)

STOCHASTICBET 9.7%

BET365 12.9% odd 7.00

DIFFERENCE -3.1 pp

DRAW

Draw

STOCHASTICBET 15.5%

BET365 17.1% odd 5.25

DIFFERENCE -1.6 pp

AWAY MODEL > MARKET

Leeds (W)

STOCHASTICBET 74.8%

BET365 70.0% odd 1.29

DIFFERENCE +4.8 pp

STOCHASTICBET

BET365 MARKET

Market · BET365 Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 14:11

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Leeds (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Durham Cestria (W) Leeds (W)

Shots 11.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 18.8 · On target 8.3

Recent attacking output favours Leeds (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Durham Cestria (W) Leeds (W)

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 1.8

Leeds (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Durham Cestria (W) Leeds (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Leeds (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.