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Poland IV Liga · PL

Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Pogon Barlinek

08 Nov 2026 · 13:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for Kotwica Kolobrzeg. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 1.22 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.33. At this price, a home win for Kotwica Kolobrzeg does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
STOCHASTICBET 75.1%
BET365 72.7% odd 1.22
DIFFERENCE +2.3 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 14.9%
BET365 16.2% odd 5.50
DIFFERENCE -1.3 pp
AWAY
Pogon Barlinek
STOCHASTICBET 10.1%
BET365 11.1% odd 8.00
DIFFERENCE -1.1 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 09:51
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Kotwica Kolobrzeg has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Kotwica Kolobrzeg Pogon Barlinek
Shots 9.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 6.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Kotwica Kolobrzeg, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Kotwica Kolobrzeg Pogon Barlinek
Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Kotwica Kolobrzeg Pogon Barlinek

The combined recent performance profile favours Kotwica Kolobrzeg.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.