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Paraguay Reserve League · PY

Club Guarani Reserves vs Olimpia Asuncion Reserves

08 Nov 2026 · 11:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for an away win for Olimpia Asuncion Reserves. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 2.15 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.30. At this price, an away win for Olimpia Asuncion Reserves does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME
Club Guarani Reserves
STOCHASTICBET 31.8%
BET365 33.9% odd 2.63
DIFFERENCE -2.1 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 24.7%
BET365 24.7% odd 3.60
DIFFERENCE +0.0 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Olimpia Asuncion Reserves
STOCHASTICBET 43.4%
BET365 41.4% odd 2.15
DIFFERENCE +2.1 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 07:51
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Olimpia Asuncion Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Club Guarani Reserves Olimpia Asuncion Reserves
Shots 9.8 · On target 4.5 Shots 10.8 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours Olimpia Asuncion Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Club Guarani Reserves Olimpia Asuncion Reserves
Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Olimpia Asuncion Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Club Guarani Reserves Olimpia Asuncion Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Olimpia Asuncion Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-08 10:33:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.