← Match Center
Israel Liga Bet South · IL

Ironi Beit Dagan vs AS Holon Mor

09 Nov 2026 · 19:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a clear model-market difference for a home win for Ironi Beit Dagan. The model is meaningfully more favourable to this outcome than the market.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 1.44 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.46. At this price, a home win for Ironi Beit Dagan does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Ironi Beit Dagan
STOCHASTICBET 68.3%
BET365 62.1% odd 1.44
DIFFERENCE +6.2 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 17.7%
BET365 19.9% odd 4.50
DIFFERENCE -2.2 pp
AWAY
AS Holon Mor
STOCHASTICBET 13.9%
BET365 17.9% odd 5.00
DIFFERENCE -4.0 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 09 Nov 2026 · 13:21
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Ironi Beit Dagan has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Ironi Beit Dagan AS Holon Mor
Shots 21.0 · On target 10.0 Shots 11.5 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Ironi Beit Dagan, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Ironi Beit Dagan AS Holon Mor
Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Ironi Beit Dagan has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Ironi Beit Dagan AS Holon Mor

The combined recent performance profile favours Ironi Beit Dagan.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-09 13:33:01

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.