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England Southern League Div One ·

Swindon Supermarine vs Westbury Utd

09 Nov 2026 · 20:45
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for a home win for Swindon Supermarine. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.70 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.71. At this price, a home win for Swindon Supermarine does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Swindon Supermarine
STOCHASTICBET 58.4%
PINNACLE 52.4% odd 1.70
DIFFERENCE +6.0 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 21.5%
PINNACLE 22.7% odd 3.94
DIFFERENCE -1.1 pp
AWAY
Westbury Utd
STOCHASTICBET 20.1%
PINNACLE 24.9% odd 3.58
DIFFERENCE -4.8 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 09 Nov 2026 · 13:41
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Swindon Supermarine

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Swindon Supermarine Westbury Utd
Shots 14.3 · On target 7.0 Shots 1.3 · On target 0.5

Recent attacking output favours Swindon Supermarine, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Swindon Supermarine Westbury Utd
Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.8

Westbury Utd has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Swindon Supermarine Westbury Utd

The combined recent performance profile favours Swindon Supermarine.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-09 13:33:01

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.55 pp
AWAY — -0.55 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.55 pp
AWAY — -0.55 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.