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England Northern League Division One · GB

1874 Northwich vs Kidsgrove Ath

10 Nov 2026 · 20:45
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for an away win for Kidsgrove Ath. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 1.85 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.03. At this price, an away win for Kidsgrove Ath does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME
1874 Northwich
STOCHASTICBET 27.1%
BET365 28.0% odd 3.20
DIFFERENCE -0.9 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 23.5%
BET365 23.6% odd 3.80
DIFFERENCE 0.0 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Kidsgrove Ath
STOCHASTICBET 49.3%
BET365 48.4% odd 1.85
DIFFERENCE +0.9 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 09 Nov 2026 · 14:01
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Kidsgrove Ath has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
1874 Northwich Kidsgrove Ath
Shots 6.0 · On target 2.5 Shots 7.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
1874 Northwich Kidsgrove Ath
Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 6.0

Kidsgrove Ath has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
1874 Northwich Kidsgrove Ath

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-10 01:23:01

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.