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Austria Amateur Cup · AT

ASV 13 Vienna vs Hellas Kagran

10 Nov 2026 · 18:45
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a clear model-market difference for a home win for ASV 13 Vienna. The model is meaningfully more favourable to this outcome than the market.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

The available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 1.95 exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.93. This suggests a potential pricing advantage for a home win for ASV 13 Vienna, although the difference alone is not enough to establish a reliable betting opportunity. The assessment applies only before kick-off.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
ASV 13 Vienna
STOCHASTICBET 51.9%
BET365 45.5% odd 1.95
DIFFERENCE +6.4 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 18.4%
BET365 19.7% odd 4.50
DIFFERENCE -1.3 pp
AWAY
Hellas Kagran
STOCHASTICBET 29.7%
BET365 34.8% odd 2.55
DIFFERENCE -5.1 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 10 Nov 2026 · 00:01
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Hellas Kagran

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
ASV 13 Vienna Hellas Kagran
Shots 5.5 · On target 1.8 Shots 13.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Hellas Kagran, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
ASV 13 Vienna Hellas Kagran
Shots allowed 1.3 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 5.0

ASV 13 Vienna has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
ASV 13 Vienna Hellas Kagran

The combined recent performance profile favours ASV 13 Vienna.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-10 01:23:01

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.