Model: TipTromba35H
Doncaster – Stevenage
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 25, 2026 3:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 56d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.35% · n=235
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.35% · n=235
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 57d 9h ago
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.56First seen
Current3.00Now
Max odds3.00Highest point
Min odds2.56Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Doncaster | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-W-W-L | D-W-D-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Home/Away form | D-L-W-L (home) | D-L-W-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.50 scored / 1.25 conceded | 0.75 scored / 1.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.20 for / 3.20 against | 3.20 for / 4.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.50 for / 3.00 against (home) | 2.75 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Doncaster is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 24.6%
7D: 6.6%
15D: 27.0%
30D: 20.5%
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.00. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.35% based on n=235 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England League 1 (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
Pick1
Odd3.00
V2 BandLOWROI 1.35% · n=235
V4 BandLOWROI 1.35% · n=235
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh
Model insight
Doncaster – Stevenage Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.35% and 1.35%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample54
Win Rate20.4%
Profit-20.09u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Banga Gargzdai - FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 3.00 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Huracan (W) - Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 3.00 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Lam Dong - CLB Bong da Hue | 3.20 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Avarta - Ringsted IF | 3.10 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Estrella del Sur Reserves - CA Claypole Reserves | 3.12 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | FC Robo (W) - Bayelsa Queens FC (W) | 3.10 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Puerto Nuevo - Centro Espanol | 3.10 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Kazakhstan U19 - Greece U19 | 3.15 | 0.01% |
Pick
1 @ 3.00
Kickoff
Apr 25, 2026 3:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.35% • n=235
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.35% • n=235
Start
Started 56d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 57d 9h ago