Model: TIPPSA
Horsham – Chippenham Town
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.01
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 25, 2026 3:30 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 2
StartStarted 31d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.51% · n=382
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.72% · n=146
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 32d ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Horsham | Chippenham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-L-D-L | L-L-D-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-W (home) | L-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.00 scored / 0.67 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.67 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.80 for / 5.40 against | 5.60 for / 3.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 5.00 against (home) | 5.67 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Chippenham Town has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.98First seen
Current3.30Now
Max odds3.65Highest point
Min odds2.98Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Horsham – Chippenham Town Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.01. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -0.51% and -3.72%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample53
Win Rate37.7%
Profit+6.50u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | FC Chernigiv - FC Metalist Kharkiv | 2.77 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Siroki Brijeg U19 - FK Zvijezda 09 U19 | 3.15 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Burnley - Wolverhampton | 2.90 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Tabor Sezana - NK Rudar Velenje | 2.87 | -1.07% |
| WIN | Hibernian - Motherwell | 3.17 | -0.51% |
| LOSS | IF Gnistan - FF Jaro | 3.03 | -0.51% |
| WIN | Sturm Graz II - Rapid Vienna II | 2.88 | -0.51% |
| LOSS | HB Torshavn - Vikingur Gota | 2.85 | -0.51% |
Pick
2 @ 3.01
Kickoff
Apr 25, 2026 3:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.51% • n=382
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-3.72% • n=146
Start
Started 31d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 32d ago