Model: TipTromba3H
Al-Hussein Baghdad – Al Bahri
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.70
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 28, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 47d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.50% · n=493
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 10h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Al-Hussein Baghdad | Al Bahri |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-D-D-D-D | D-L-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.60 | 1.25 |
| Home/Away form | D-D-D (home) | D-L-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.33 scored / 0.33 conceded | 0.50 scored / 1.25 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.00 for / 0.75 against | 1.00 for / 3.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 0.50 for / 0.50 against (home) | 1.00 for / 3.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Al-Hussein Baghdad. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Al-Hussein Baghdad's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 28.7%
7D: 14.0%
15D: 8.5%
30D: 16.6%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.70First seen
Current2.70Now
Max odds2.73Highest point
Min odds2.70Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term
Model insight
Al-Hussein Baghdad – Al Bahri Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.50% across 493 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample128
Win Rate36.7%
Profit-3.05u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | FC Gori - FC Gareji | 2.55 | 2.55% |
| LOSS | Atlantis FC/PM - MPS/Atletico Malmi | 2.63 | 2.55% |
| LOSS | Sportivo Italiano Reserves - Deportivo Merlo Reserves | 2.90 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | Vancouver Whitecaps II - North Texas SC | 2.88 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | Racing de Casablanca - Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir | 2.80 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | Dulwich Hill - Central Coast Mariners U21 | 2.75 | 4.49% |
| WIN | Andira U20 - AD Vasco Da Gama U20 | 2.80 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | Scherpenheuvel - Inter Willemstad | 2.50 | 2.55% |
Pick
1 @ 2.70
Kickoff
Apr 28, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.50% • n=493
Start
Started 47d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 10h ago