Model: TIPPSA
FC Bunyodkor – Navbahor Namangan
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.16
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 29, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 28d ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.14% · n=97
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 28d 3h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | FC Bunyodkor | Navbahor Namangan |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-W-L-W | L-D-W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-L-W (home) | L-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.25 scored / 1.25 conceded | 1.33 scored / 0.67 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.20 for / 5.80 against | 4.20 for / 3.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.25 for / 5.25 against (home) | 4.67 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.78First seen
Current2.16Now
Max odds2.18Highest point
Min odds1.78Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
FC Bunyodkor – Navbahor Namangan Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.16. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.14% across 97 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample115
Win Rate45.2%
Profit-0.63u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Glasgow City (W) - Rangers (W) | 2.05 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Lobos UPNFM Reserves - CD Marathon Reserves | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Radnik Bijeljina - Borac Banja Luka | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | ADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W) | 2.25 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | AFC Hermannstadt - FCSB | 2.26 | 3.31% |
| LOSS | Kasimpasa - Galatasaray | 2.27 | 3.31% |
| LOSS | Valur Reykjavik - Breidablik | 2.16 | 4.31% |
Pick
2 @ 2.16
Kickoff
Apr 29, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.14% • n=97
Start
Started 28d ago
Updated
Updated 28d 3h ago