Model: TipTromba3H
Hestrafors IF – Västra Frölunda IF
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 01, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 4
StartStarted 39d 23h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.12% · n=251
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 40d 14h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Hestrafors IF | Västra Frölunda IF |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-D-W-L | W-L-W-W-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Home/Away form | L-D-L (home) | W-W-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded | 2.33 scored / 1.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.40 for / 4.40 against | 4.75 for / 5.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.33 for / 3.67 against (home) | 3.50 for / 3.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -25.6%
7D: 3.4%
15D: 0.4%
30D: 12.2%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.40First seen
Current2.90Now
Max odds2.90Highest point
Min odds2.40Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Hestrafors IF – Västra Frölunda IF Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.90. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.12% across 251 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample48
Win Rate45.8%
Profit+13.38u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Racing de Casablanca - Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir | 2.80 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | Dulwich Hill - Central Coast Mariners U21 | 2.75 | 4.49% |
| WIN | Andira U20 - AD Vasco Da Gama U20 | 2.80 | 4.49% |
| WIN | Deportivo Armenio - Argentino Merlo | 2.75 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | Azuriz FC - Blumenau EC | 2.80 | 4.49% |
| WIN | Al Bataeh U23 - Shabab Al Ahli Dubai U23 | 2.70 | 2.06% |
| WIN | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) - Shandong (W) | 2.88 | 4.12% |
| LOSS | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) - Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) | 2.75 | 4.12% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Italiano Reserves - Deportivo Merlo Reserves | 1 | 2.90 | 4.49% | 10 Jun 17:00 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps II - North Texas SC | 1 | 2.88 | 4.49% | 11 Jun 03:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.90
Kickoff
Mag 01, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.12% • n=251
Start
Started 39d 23h ago
Updated
Updated 40d 14h ago