Model: TIPPSH
Fortaleza – Goias
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 03, 2026 3:30 AM
ResultWIN4 - 1
StartStarted 24d 4h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 24d 6h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Fortaleza | Goias |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-D-W-W | L-L-D-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-W-W-W (home) | L-L-L-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.60 scored / 1.00 conceded | 0.75 scored / 2.25 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.00 for / 2.60 against | 2.00 for / 5.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.60 for / 3.20 against (home) | 2.00 for / 5.25 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Fortaleza. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Fortaleza's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.93First seen
Current1.90Now
Max odds1.98Highest point
Min odds1.90Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Fortaleza – Goias Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.90. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample285
Win Rate50.9%
Profit-5.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Varnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B | 1.89 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | South Melbourne - Auckland FC II | 1.84 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Jadran Dekani - NK Krka | 1.91 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | North Sunshine Eagles - Langwarrin | 1.75 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CFR Cluj - FC Arges Pitesti | 1.85 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Imisli - FK Karvan | 1.80 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kalmar FF - Degerfors | 1.95 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.90
Kickoff
Mag 03, 2026 3:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 24d 4h ago
Updated
Updated 24d 6h ago