Sportivo Luqueno (W) – Club Guarani (W)

Model: TipTrombaGt15H

Sportivo Luqueno (W) vs Club Guarani (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 41.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 02, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 5
StartStarted 70d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.92% · n=17
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 70d 15h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sportivo Luqueno (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sportivo Luqueno (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

44/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds19.00First seen
Current41.00Now
Max odds55.00Highest point
Min odds19.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sportivo Luqueno (W)HOME
VS
Club Guarani (W)AWAY
LWWD
Recent form
WWD
Avg goals scored
1.75
3.00
Defensive weakness
1.50
1.00
Shots on target for
5.50
4.33
SoT conceded pressure
5.50
2.67
Home splitL-D0.50 scored / 3.00 conceded
Away splitW-D3.00 scored / 0.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 41.00. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.92% based on n=17 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Women League (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd41.00
V2 BandNONEROI -0.92% · n=17
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Sportivo Luqueno (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -31.5% 7D: -1.9% 15D: -0.2% 30D: 10.8%
Model insight

Sportivo Luqueno (W) – Club Guarani (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 41.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTrombaGt15H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.92% across 17 similar predictions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample2
Win Rate50.0%
Profit+39.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINHolland Park Hawks U23 - Redlands United U2341.00-0.89%
LOSSSao Jose SP (W) - Bragantino (W)41.00-0.89%
Pick
1 @ 41.00
Kickoff
Mag 02, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.92% • n=17
Start
Started 70d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 70d 15h ago
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