Partizan Belgrade – FK Novi Pazar

Model: TIPPSA

Partizan Belgrade vs FK Novi Pazar

PREDICTION
2
@ 6.96
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 02, 2026 8:30 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 71d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.58% · n=13
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 71d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FK Novi Pazar. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FK Novi Pazar

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

60/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.82First seen
Current7.16Now
Max odds7.16Highest point
Min odds4.80Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Partizan BelgradeHOME
VS
FK Novi PazarAWAY
WLDWW
Recent form
LDLLL
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.40
2.80
Shots on target for
2.60
5.00
SoT conceded pressure
6.60
3.80
Home splitW-W-D1.33 scored / 0.67 conceded
Away splitL-L-L0.33 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 6.96. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.58% based on n=13 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Serbia Super Liga (rs). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd6.96
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.58% · n=13
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor FK Novi Pazar. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. FK Novi Pazar is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -12.1% 7D: -7.0% 15D: -2.5% 30D: 9.9%
Model insight

Partizan Belgrade – FK Novi Pazar Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 6.96. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.58% across 13 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Pick
2 @ 6.96
Kickoff
Mag 02, 2026 8:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.58% • n=13
Start
Started 71d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 71d 4h ago
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