Model: TIPPSA

Cheltenham vs Colchester

PREDICTION

@ 2.14

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 02, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 4

StartStarted 70d 23h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.14% · n=97

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 71d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Colchester. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Colchester

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

34/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.20First seen

Current2.20Now

Max odds2.20Highest point

Min odds2.20Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CheltenhamHOME

ColchesterAWAY

LLLWW

Recent form

WLLWW

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.80

Defensive weakness

2.40

0.80

Shots on target for

2.60

5.60

SoT conceded pressure

5.20

4.20

Home splitL-L-W-W-D1.20 scored / 1.80 conceded

Away splitW-L-W1.67 scored / 0.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.14. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.14% based on n=97 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England League 2 (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.14

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.14% · n=97

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Colchester. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Colchester has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -12.1% 7D: -7.0% 15D: -2.5% 30D: 9.9%

Model insight

Cheltenham – Colchester Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.14. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.14% across 97 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample120

Win Rate44.2%

Profit-3.68u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Craigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)	2.34	3.43%
LOSS	Union La Calera - Universidad de Chile	2.29	3.59%
LOSS	Votoraty U23 - Guarulhos U23	2.08	2.63%
LOSS	Vidar - Pors Grenland	2.08	2.63%
WIN	Santa Clara U23 - Gil Vicente U23	2.01	2.63%
LOSS	Lech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)	2.25	3.59%
LOSS	Chrobry Glogow - LKS Lodz	2.19	2.63%
LOSS	SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva	2.25	3.43%

Pick

2 @ 2.14

Kickoff

Mag 02, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.14% • n=97

Start

Started 70d 23h ago

Updated

Updated 71d 5h ago