Model: TipTromba3H
SV Estudiantes – FC San Nicolas
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.60
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 06, 2026 4:30 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 21d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.50% · n=493
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 21d 22h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | SV Estudiantes | FC San Nicolas |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-L-L | W-W-L-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.75 | 2.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.75 | 3.80 |
| Home/Away form | L-L (home) | W-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 3.00 conceded | 2.33 scored / 2.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.50 for / 5.00 against | 3.33 for / 6.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.50 for / 5.00 against (home) | 4.00 for / 5.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.25First seen
Current2.60Now
Max odds2.60Highest point
Min odds2.25Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
SV Estudiantes – FC San Nicolas Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.60. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.50% across 493 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample102
Win Rate36.3%
Profit-5.43u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Deportivo Armenio - Argentino Merlo | 2.75 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | Azuriz FC - Blumenau EC | 2.80 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Laferrere - Atletico Camioneros | 2.60 | 2.55% |
| LOSS | Oyonesa - Varea | 2.63 | 2.50% |
| WIN | Al Bataeh U23 - Shabab Al Ahli Dubai U23 | 2.70 | 2.06% |
| WIN | Austin FC II - St Louis City II | 2.55 | 2.06% |
| LOSS | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) - Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) | 2.75 | 4.12% |
| WIN | FC Raengdai - Chhaygaon FC | 2.50 | 2.06% |
Pick
1 @ 2.60
Kickoff
Mag 06, 2026 4:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.50% • n=493
Start
Started 21d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 21d 22h ago