Model: TipTromba2H
Tukums 2000 – Ogre United
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.80
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 07, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultWIN6 - 1
StartStarted 33d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.17% · n=517
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 35d 7h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Tukums 2000 | Ogre United |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-L-D-D | L-L-L-L-D |
| Avg goals scored | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 3.20 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-D-D-L (home) | L-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 3.00 scored / 1.20 conceded | 0.67 scored / 4.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.80 for / 3.00 against | 2.80 for / 7.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.20 for / 2.60 against (home) | 2.67 for / 8.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Tukums 2000. The confidence band strengthens the case for the pick beyond the basic market price. Tukums 2000 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -37.6%
7D: -18.0%
15D: -2.8%
30D: 8.5%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.91First seen
Current1.83Now
Max odds1.94Highest point
Min odds1.83Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Tukums 2000 – Ogre United Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.80. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 7.17% across 517 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample146
Win Rate54.1%
Profit-1.38u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Ilvamaddalena - Polisportiva Pietralunghese | 1.95 | 7.35% |
| LOSS | South China AA - Tung Sing | 1.90 | 7.35% |
| WIN | Gold Coast Knights U23 - Brisbane Olympic FC U23 | 1.80 | 6.17% |
| WIN | Nueva Chicago U20 - Defensores Unidos U20 | 1.67 | 6.49% |
| WIN | West Torrens Birkalla Reserves - Croydon FC Reserves | 1.80 | 7.35% |
| WIN | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) - Illawarra Stingrays (W) | 1.62 | 6.49% |
| WIN | Broadbeach United - Holland Park Hawks | 1.60 | 6.49% |
| WIN | Brisbane Strikers - Robina City | 1.91 | 6.89% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broadbeach United U23 - St George Willawong U23 | 1 | 1.57 | 6.49% | 13 Jun 09:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.80
Kickoff
Mag 07, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 7.17% • n=517
Start
Started 33d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 35d 7h ago