Model: TIPPSH
AEK Larnaca – Apollon Limassol
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.01
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 06, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 20d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 20d 20h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | AEK Larnaca | Apollon Limassol |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-W-D-L | L-W-D-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-L (home) | L-D-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 0.67 conceded | 0.75 scored / 1.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.00 for / 3.80 against | 3.80 for / 6.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 4.33 against (home) | 4.33 for / 6.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. AEK Larnaca has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.03First seen
Current2.01Now
Max odds2.20Highest point
Min odds1.93Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
AEK Larnaca – Apollon Limassol Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.01. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample309
Win Rate49.5%
Profit-11.21u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Central & Western - Hoi King | 2.20 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Varnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B | 1.89 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | South Melbourne - Auckland FC II | 1.84 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | B36 Torshavn II - Vikingur Gota II | 2.21 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Jadran Dekani - NK Krka | 1.91 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CFR Cluj - FC Arges Pitesti | 1.85 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Imisli - FK Karvan | 1.80 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.01
Kickoff
Mag 06, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 20d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 20d 20h ago