Model: TIPPSH
Umm Salal U23 – Al Gharafa U23
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.77
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 06, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 20d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.53% · n=59
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.53% · n=59
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 20d 18h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Umm Salal U23 | Al Gharafa U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-D-W-W-D | D-L-L-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | D-D-W-D (home) | D-D-L-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 0.75 conceded | 0.60 scored / 1.20 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.40 for / 2.00 against | 1.80 for / 6.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.25 for / 2.25 against (home) | 2.40 for / 7.20 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Despite entering the match at a generous price, Umm Salal U23 has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. Comparable matches classified within the ELITE confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Umm Salal U23 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.91First seen
Current2.93Now
Max odds2.94Highest point
Min odds1.91Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Umm Salal U23 – Al Gharafa U23 Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.77. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 9.53% and 9.53%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample6
Win Rate33.3%
Profit-0.57u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Racing Power (W) - Braga (W) | 2.85 | 9.53% |
| WIN | Vysocina Jihlava U19 - Slovan Liberec U19 | 2.80 | 9.53% |
| LOSS | Doncaster - Stevenage | 2.77 | 9.53% |
| LOSS | Juarez FC (W) - Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 2.88 | 9.53% |
| WIN | Cork City - Kerry FC | 2.63 | 10.00% |
| LOSS | Bahia U20 - Palmeiras U20 | 2.80 | 9.53% |
Pick
1 @ 2.77
Kickoff
Mag 06, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 9.53% • n=59
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
9.53% • n=59
Start
Started 20d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 20d 18h ago