Model: TipTromba3H
Grasse – Vallieres
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 09, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 17d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.23% · n=188
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 18d 3h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Grasse | Vallieres |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-D-W-L | W-W-L-L-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | L-D-L (home) | W-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.33 scored / 2.33 conceded | 2.67 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.40 for / 5.00 against | 3.80 for / 5.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.33 for / 6.00 against (home) | 4.33 for / 4.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Grasse's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.60First seen
Current2.54Now
Max odds2.60Highest point
Min odds2.54Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Grasse – Vallieres Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.23% across 188 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample95
Win Rate37.9%
Profit-1.23u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Deportivo Armenio - Argentino Merlo | 2.75 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Laferrere - Atletico Camioneros | 2.60 | 2.55% |
| LOSS | Oyonesa - Varea | 2.63 | 2.50% |
| WIN | Al Bataeh U23 - Shabab Al Ahli Dubai U23 | 2.70 | 2.06% |
| WIN | Austin FC II - St Louis City II | 2.55 | 2.06% |
| LOSS | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) - Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) | 2.75 | 4.12% |
| WIN | FC Raengdai - Chhaygaon FC | 2.50 | 2.06% |
| LOSS | Kayserispor U19 - Konyaspor U19 | 2.50 | 2.50% |
Pick
1 @ 2.50
Kickoff
Mag 09, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.23% • n=188
Start
Started 17d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 18d 3h ago