Toronto FC II – New York Red Bulls II

Model: TIPPSA

Toronto FC II vs New York Red Bulls II

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.01
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 08, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 63d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=177
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=177
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 64d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is New York Red Bulls II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: New York Red Bulls II

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

40/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.76First seen
Current2.01Now
Max odds2.01Highest point
Min odds1.76Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Toronto FC IIHOME
VS
New York Red Bulls IIAWAY
LLWWD
Recent form
WWWWW
Avg goals scored
1.40
2.60
Defensive weakness
2.20
1.00
Shots on target for
4.80
6.00
SoT conceded pressure
6.00
5.00
Home splitL-W-W-D1.75 scored / 1.50 conceded
Away splitW-W-W2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.01. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.31% based on n=177 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS Next Pro League (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.01
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.31% · n=177
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.31% · n=177
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. New York Red Bulls II is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -33.5% 7D: -14.0% 15D: -8.3% 30D: 5.3%
Model insight

Toronto FC II – New York Red Bulls II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.01. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.31% and 4.31%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample78
Win Rate43.6%
Profit-6.05u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSVotoraty U23 - Guarulhos U232.082.63%
LOSSVidar - Pors Grenland2.082.63%
WINSanta Clara U23 - Gil Vicente U232.012.63%
LOSSLech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)2.253.59%
LOSSChrobry Glogow - LKS Lodz2.192.63%
LOSSSC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva2.253.43%
LOSSGlasgow City (W) - Rangers (W)2.052.63%
LOSSLobos UPNFM Reserves - CD Marathon Reserves2.182.63%
Pick
2 @ 2.01
Kickoff
Mag 08, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.31% • n=177
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.31% • n=177
Start
Started 63d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 64d 3h ago
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