Model: TipA1
Madureira RJ – Portuguesa Desportos
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 09, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 17d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.34% · n=108
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.34% · n=108
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 18d 15h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Madureira RJ | Portuguesa Desportos |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-L-D-W | L-W-W-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-W (home) | L-W-D-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.00 scored / 1.33 conceded | 0.75 scored / 0.75 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.20 for / 5.40 against | 5.00 for / 2.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.33 for / 4.33 against (home) | 3.50 for / 3.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Portuguesa Desportos a useful statistical edge. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Portuguesa Desportos's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.00First seen
Current2.02Now
Max odds2.04Highest point
Min odds2.00Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Madureira RJ – Portuguesa Desportos Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.00. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.34% and 2.34%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample53
Win Rate47.2%
Profit+0.55u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Sao Cristovao U20 - AA Carapebus U20 | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Almirante Brown Reserves - CA San Miguel Reserves | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Muang Loei United - Uttaradit FC | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Ullensaker/Kisa U19 - Skeid U19 | 2.20 | 3.75% |
| LOSS | BFA Vilnius - FK Garliava | 2.15 | 2.34% |
| LOSS | Atletico Avila - Dynamo Puerto FC | 2.10 | 3.10% |
| LOSS | Lagarto - CS Sergipe | 2.25 | 4.99% |
| WIN | Al Ittifaq Dubai - Emirates Club RAK | 2.10 | 3.10% |
Pick
2 @ 2.00
Kickoff
Mag 09, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.34% • n=108
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.34% • n=108
Start
Started 17d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 18d 15h ago