Model: TIPPSH

Parnu JK Vaprus vs JK Trans Narva

PREDICTION

@ 2.49

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 09, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultWIN2 - 0

StartStarted 63d 5h ago

V2 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 63d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Parnu JK Vaprus. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Parnu JK Vaprus

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (Min) and market odds.

13/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.29First seen

Current2.49Now

Max odds2.49Highest point

Min odds2.11Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Parnu JK VaprusHOME

JK Trans NarvaAWAY

WLLWW

Recent form

LLLLL

Avg goals scored

1.40

0.00

Defensive weakness

1.20

3.80

Shots on target for

4.20

2.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.20

6.80

Home splitW-L-D-L1.00 scored / 1.25 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-L-L0.20 scored / 4.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.49. The confidence profile is still limited for this specific model setup. The match belongs to Estonia Meistriliiga (ee). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.49

V2 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Parnu JK Vaprus's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -48.9% 7D: -23.1% 15D: -11.5% 30D: 6.8%

Model insight

Parnu JK Vaprus – JK Trans Narva Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.49. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Pick

1 @ 2.49

Kickoff

Mag 09, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ?

Start

Started 63d 5h ago

Updated

Updated 63d 7h ago