Model: TipTromba2H
Widad Arafat – Star Arafat
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.95
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 09, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 32d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.08% · n=411
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.08% · n=411
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 32d 11h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Widad Arafat | Star Arafat |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-W-L-W | D-L-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.25 | 0.25 |
| Home/Away form | D-L (home) | D-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.00 scored / 1.00 conceded | 0.50 scored / 0.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 12.75 for / 6.75 against | 8.50 for / 8.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 10.00 for / 7.00 against (home) | 7.00 for / 7.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. Historical model data adds support here, as similar HIGH selections have produced encouraging results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Widad Arafat's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -4.9%
7D: -8.4%
15D: -5.2%
30D: 6.1%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.95First seen
Current1.97Now
Max odds1.97Highest point
Min odds1.95Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Widad Arafat – Star Arafat Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.95. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.08% and 7.08%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample135
Win Rate54.1%
Profit-0.16u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Ilvamaddalena - Polisportiva Pietralunghese | 1.95 | 7.35% |
| LOSS | South China AA - Tung Sing | 1.90 | 7.35% |
| WIN | Gold Coast Knights U23 - Brisbane Olympic FC U23 | 1.80 | 6.17% |
| WIN | West Torrens Birkalla Reserves - Croydon FC Reserves | 1.80 | 7.35% |
| WIN | Brisbane Strikers - Robina City | 1.91 | 6.89% |
| LOSS | Latvia U21 - Estonia U21 | 1.83 | 6.17% |
| LOSS | Nepal (W) - Bangladesh (W) | 1.85 | 6.89% |
| WIN | Cardoso Moreira RJ - United City | 1.75 | 7.35% |
Pick
1 @ 1.95
Kickoff
Mag 09, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 7.08% • n=411
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
7.08% • n=411
Start
Started 32d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 32d 11h ago