Model: TIPPSH
Negelle Arsi – Dire Dawa
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.07
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 11, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 0
StartStarted 15d 23h ago
V2 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 16d 16h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Negelle Arsi | Dire Dawa |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-D-L-D | L-D-D-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-L-D-D (home) | L-D-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded | 0.50 scored / 1.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.60 for / 2.80 against | 1.00 for / 3.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.60 for / 3.60 against (home) | 1.25 for / 2.75 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Negelle Arsi a useful statistical edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Negelle Arsi is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.87First seen
Current2.07Now
Max odds2.07Highest point
Min odds1.81Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Negelle Arsi – Dire Dawa Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.07. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Pick
1 @ 2.07
Kickoff
Mag 11, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ?
Start
Started 15d 23h ago
Updated
Updated 16d 16h ago