Austin FC II – Tacoma Defiance

Model: TIPPSH

Austin FC II – Tacoma Defiance

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.01
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 11, 2026 4:30 AM
ResultWIN3 - 0
StartStarted 16d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 16d 4h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Austin FC II Tacoma Defiance
Last 5 form W-D-D D-W-L-L
Avg goals scored 1.33 2.00
Avg goals conceded 0.67 1.75
Home/Away form D (home) D-L (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded 1.50 scored / 2.00 conceded
Shots on target 6.67 for / 2.33 against 4.75 for / 6.00 against
Home/Away shots on target 6.00 for / 3.00 against (home) 3.50 for / 7.00 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Austin FC II is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.85First seen
Current2.01Now
Max odds2.23Highest point
Min odds1.85Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Austin FC II – Tacoma Defiance Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.01. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample309
Win Rate49.5%
Profit-11.21u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSAF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores2.123.37%
LOSSCentral & Western - Hoi King2.203.37%
WINVarnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B1.893.37%
LOSSSouth Melbourne - Auckland FC II1.843.37%
LOSSB36 Torshavn II - Vikingur Gota II2.213.37%
WINJadran Dekani - NK Krka1.913.37%
LOSSCFR Cluj - FC Arges Pitesti1.853.37%
LOSSImisli - FK Karvan1.803.37%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz11.984.86%09 May 13:00
FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina11.932.30%10 May 19:00
Pick
1 @ 2.01
Kickoff
Mag 11, 2026 4:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 16d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 16d 4h ago
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