Deportivo Pasto – Deportes Tolima

Model: TipA1

Deportivo Pasto – Deportes Tolima

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.60
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 14, 2026 3:00 AM
ResultWIN0 - 2
StartStarted 13d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.30% · n=159
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 15d 9h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Deportivo Pasto Deportes Tolima
Last 5 form L-L-L-L-W W-W-W-D-W
Avg goals scored 1.40 2.00
Avg goals conceded 2.20 0.20
Home/Away form L-L-W (home) W-L-L-L (away)
Home/Away avg goals 0.67 scored / 1.33 conceded 0.75 scored / 1.50 conceded
Shots on target 3.40 for / 5.80 against 5.00 for / 3.00 against
Home/Away shots on target 3.67 for / 4.67 against (home) 3.50 for / 4.75 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Deportes Tolima. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Deportes Tolima's attacking profile.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.11First seen
Current3.60Now
Max odds3.70Highest point
Min odds3.11Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Deportivo Pasto – Deportes Tolima Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.60. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.30% across 159 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample9
Win Rate33.3%
Profit+1.70u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSAgropecuario Reserves - All Boys Reserves3.50-3.74%
WINUE Castelldefels - Jupiter CE3.60-2.30%
LOSSBentleigh Greens - Northcote City3.60-2.30%
LOSSDorogi FC - Komarom VSE3.60-2.30%
LOSSRockdale Ilinden FC - Sydney FC U213.40-2.30%
LOSSFu Jen University - Inter Taoyuan FC3.40-2.30%
WINFC Pisek - FK Admira Praha3.40-2.30%
LOSSDeportivo Muniz Reserves - Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves3.50-2.30%
Pick
2 @ 3.60
Kickoff
Mag 14, 2026 3:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -2.30% • n=159
Start
Started 13d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 15d 9h ago
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