Model: TipA1
Bentleigh Greens – Northcote City
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.60
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 12, 2026 1:30 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 0
StartStarted 14d 15h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.30% · n=159
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 15d 5h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Bentleigh Greens | Northcote City |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-L-L-D | L-L-W-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.20 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-L-D (home) | L-L-D-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.50 scored / 3.00 conceded | 0.75 scored / 1.25 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.00 for / 6.80 against | 5.20 for / 3.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 7.67 against (home) | 5.67 for / 4.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Northcote City. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Northcote City's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.60First seen
Current3.81Now
Max odds3.85Highest point
Min odds3.60Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Bentleigh Greens – Northcote City Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.60. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.30% across 159 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample9
Win Rate33.3%
Profit+1.70u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Agropecuario Reserves - All Boys Reserves | 3.50 | -3.74% |
| WIN | UE Castelldefels - Jupiter CE | 3.60 | -2.30% |
| WIN | Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Tolima | 3.70 | -2.30% |
| LOSS | Dorogi FC - Komarom VSE | 3.60 | -2.30% |
| LOSS | Rockdale Ilinden FC - Sydney FC U21 | 3.40 | -2.30% |
| LOSS | Fu Jen University - Inter Taoyuan FC | 3.40 | -2.30% |
| WIN | FC Pisek - FK Admira Praha | 3.40 | -2.30% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Muniz Reserves - Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves | 3.50 | -2.30% |
Pick
2 @ 3.60
Kickoff
Mag 12, 2026 1:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -2.30% • n=159
Start
Started 14d 15h ago
Updated
Updated 15d 5h ago