Penarol AM (W) – Doce Mel EC (W)

Model: TipTromba3H

Penarol AM (W) – Doce Mel EC (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.63
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 13, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 13d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.53% · n=48
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.53% · n=48
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 14d 11h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Penarol AM (W) Doce Mel EC (W)
Last 5 form L-W-W-W-W W-L-D-D-L
Avg goals scored 2.80 0.60
Avg goals conceded 1.20 1.40
Home/Away form L-W-W-W (home) W-L-D-L (away)
Home/Away avg goals 2.75 scored / 1.00 conceded 0.75 scored / 1.75 conceded
Shots on target 9.00 for / 6.00 against 4.60 for / 6.40 against
Home/Away shots on target 9.00 for / 6.00 against (home) 4.25 for / 6.00 against (away)

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Penarol AM (W) shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The ELITE confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Penarol AM (W)'s attacking profile.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.60First seen
Current2.65Now
Max odds2.65Highest point
Min odds2.60Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Penarol AM (W) – Doce Mel EC (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.63. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 8.53% and 8.53%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample15
Win Rate53.3%
Profit+5.63u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCerrito - Huracan DPA2.558.24%
WINGladiator - FC Matese2.5010.85%
WINBalcatta U23 - Western Knights U232.5010.85%
WINAngkor Tiger FC - Svay Rieng FC2.6011.79%
LOSSHills United FC (W) - Northern Tigers FC (W)2.5011.79%
WINMaccabi Herzliya U19 - FC Ashdod U192.558.53%
WINPersib Bandung U20 - Malut United FC U202.708.53%
LOSSGuarani de Palhoca - CA Metropolitano2.5011.79%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Brunswick City - Manningham United Blues12.558.24%29 May 11:30
Pick
1 @ 2.63
Kickoff
Mag 13, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 8.53% • n=48
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
8.53% • n=48
Start
Started 13d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 14d 11h ago
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