Model: TipTromba3H
Penarol AM (W) – Doce Mel EC (W)
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.63
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 13, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 13d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.53% · n=48
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.53% · n=48
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 14d 11h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Penarol AM (W) | Doce Mel EC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-W-W-W | W-L-D-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 2.80 | 0.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-W-W (home) | W-L-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.75 scored / 1.00 conceded | 0.75 scored / 1.75 conceded |
| Shots on target | 9.00 for / 6.00 against | 4.60 for / 6.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 9.00 for / 6.00 against (home) | 4.25 for / 6.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Penarol AM (W) shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The ELITE confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Penarol AM (W)'s attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.60First seen
Current2.65Now
Max odds2.65Highest point
Min odds2.60Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Penarol AM (W) – Doce Mel EC (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.63. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 8.53% and 8.53%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample15
Win Rate53.3%
Profit+5.63u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Cerrito - Huracan DPA | 2.55 | 8.24% |
| WIN | Gladiator - FC Matese | 2.50 | 10.85% |
| WIN | Balcatta U23 - Western Knights U23 | 2.50 | 10.85% |
| WIN | Angkor Tiger FC - Svay Rieng FC | 2.60 | 11.79% |
| LOSS | Hills United FC (W) - Northern Tigers FC (W) | 2.50 | 11.79% |
| WIN | Maccabi Herzliya U19 - FC Ashdod U19 | 2.55 | 8.53% |
| WIN | Persib Bandung U20 - Malut United FC U20 | 2.70 | 8.53% |
| LOSS | Guarani de Palhoca - CA Metropolitano | 2.50 | 11.79% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brunswick City - Manningham United Blues | 1 | 2.55 | 8.24% | 29 May 11:30 |
Pick
1 @ 2.63
Kickoff
Mag 13, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 8.53% • n=48
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
8.53% • n=48
Start
Started 13d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 14d 11h ago