Model: TIPPSH
Araz FK – FK Kapaz
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.14
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 15, 2026 7:30 PM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 25d 15h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 25d 22h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Araz FK | FK Kapaz |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-L-D-L | L-W-W-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-L-L (home) | L-W-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded | 0.50 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.20 for / 2.60 against | 3.80 for / 6.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 4.50 against (home) | 2.50 for / 8.75 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 27.2%
7D: 21.1%
15D: -2.1%
30D: 0.2%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.99First seen
Current2.14Now
Max odds2.14Highest point
Min odds1.99Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Araz FK – FK Kapaz Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.14. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample240
Win Rate45.8%
Profit-15.45u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Congo DR - Chile | 2.03 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Oman - Mozambique | 2.18 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Blacktown City U20 - Rockdale Ilinden FC U20 | 2.00 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CF Benidorm - Torrevieja | 2.25 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Oskar Przysucha - MKS Piaseczno | 2.25 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Perth SC - Stirling Macedonia | 2.23 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Atletico Rio Abajo - AF Chilibre | 2.23 | 3.37% |
| WIN | CA Atlanta - Gimnasia Jujuy | 2.29 | 3.15% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
| Waterford FC - Sligo Rovers | 1 | 2.23 | 3.37% | 12 Jun 20:45 |
| Colorado Switchbacks FC - Sacramento Republic | 1 | 1.97 | 3.37% | 14 Jun 03:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.14
Kickoff
Mag 15, 2026 7:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 25d 15h ago
Updated
Updated 25d 22h ago