Model: TIPPSH
ND Gorica – ND Ilirija Ljubljana
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.87
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 15, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 25d 15h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 25d 22h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | ND Gorica | ND Ilirija Ljubljana |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-W-L-W | L-W-L-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-L-L-L (home) | L-L-W-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded | 1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.80 for / 2.80 against | 3.40 for / 5.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 2.50 against (home) | 3.00 for / 4.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives ND Gorica a useful statistical edge. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to ND Gorica's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 23.6%
7D: 13.8%
15D: -4.2%
30D: -2.0%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.13First seen
Current1.98Now
Max odds2.16Highest point
Min odds1.98Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
ND Gorica – ND Ilirija Ljubljana Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.87. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample271
Win Rate52.0%
Profit-0.43u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Congo DR - Chile | 2.03 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Blacktown City U20 - Rockdale Ilinden FC U20 | 2.00 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Real Sociedad (W) - Atletico Madrid (W) | 2.03 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | IR Reykjavik - IF Vestri | 2.10 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Varnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B | 1.89 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | South Melbourne - Auckland FC II | 1.84 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Jadran Dekani - NK Krka | 1.91 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
| Colorado Switchbacks FC - Sacramento Republic | 1 | 1.97 | 3.37% | 14 Jun 03:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.87
Kickoff
Mag 15, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 25d 15h ago
Updated
Updated 25d 22h ago