Model: TIPPSH

Valenciennes vs Chateauroux

PREDICTION

@ 3.85

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 15, 2026 9:30 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 2

StartStarted 56d 21h ago

V2 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 56d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Valenciennes. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Valenciennes

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (Min) and market odds.

23/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.76First seen

Current4.00Now

Max odds4.57Highest point

Min odds3.75Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

ValenciennesHOME

ChateaurouxAWAY

DLDLL

Recent form

DWWLL

Avg goals scored

0.60

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.40

2.00

Shots on target for

3.20

2.80

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

4.60

Home splitD-L-W1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-W-L-D1.25 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.85. The confidence profile is still limited for this specific model setup. The match belongs to France National (fr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd3.85

V2 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Valenciennes. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 6.9% 7D: -6.1% 15D: -13.3% 30D: -0.3%

Model insight

Valenciennes – Chateauroux Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.85. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Pick

1 @ 3.85

Kickoff

Mag 15, 2026 9:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: ?

Start

Started 56d 21h ago

Updated

Updated 56d 23h ago