Adamstown Rosebud – Charlestown Azzurri

Model: TIPPSA

Adamstown Rosebud – Charlestown Azzurri

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.04
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 8:00 AM
ResultLOSS2 - 0
StartStarted 11d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.14% · n=97
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11d 14h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Adamstown Rosebud Charlestown Azzurri
Last 5 form W-D-L-L-L L-L-W-L-L
Avg goals scored 1.20 1.60
Avg goals conceded 1.80 2.60
Home/Away form W-D-L-L-L (home) L-W-L (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.40 scored / 2.20 conceded 1.33 scored / 2.00 conceded
Shots on target 3.00 for / 6.00 against 6.60 for / 5.40 against
Home/Away shots on target 3.00 for / 6.00 against (home) 5.67 for / 3.67 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Charlestown Azzurri has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.83First seen
Current2.04Now
Max odds2.04Highest point
Min odds1.83Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Adamstown Rosebud – Charlestown Azzurri Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.04. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.14% across 97 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample81
Win Rate44.4%
Profit-4.22u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva2.253.43%
LOSSGlasgow City (W) - Rangers (W)2.052.63%
LOSSLobos UPNFM Reserves - CD Marathon Reserves2.182.63%
LOSSRadnik Bijeljina - Borac Banja Luka2.182.63%
LOSSADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W)2.254.13%
LOSSAFC Hermannstadt - FCSB2.263.31%
LOSSKasimpasa - Galatasaray2.273.31%
LOSSValur Reykjavik - Breidablik2.164.31%
Pick
2 @ 2.04
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 8:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.14% • n=97
Start
Started 11d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 11d 14h ago
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