Adamstown Rosebud vs Charlestown Azzurri
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Charlestown Azzurri. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Charlestown AzzurriValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.04. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.14% based on n=97 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Northern NSW Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Charlestown Azzurri is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Adamstown Rosebud – Charlestown Azzurri Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Union La Calera - Universidad de Chile | 2.29 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | Votoraty U23 - Guarulhos U23 | 2.08 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Vidar - Pors Grenland | 2.08 | 2.63% |
| WIN | Santa Clara U23 - Gil Vicente U23 | 2.01 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Lech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 2.25 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | Chrobry Glogow - LKS Lodz | 2.19 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Glasgow City (W) - Rangers (W) | 2.05 | 2.63% |