Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Botev Plovdiv. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Botev PlovdivValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.12. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.30% based on n=731 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bulgaria First League (bg). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Botev Plovdiv. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Botev Plovdiv has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Botev Plovdiv – Cherno More Varna Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | CF Jaraiz - CD Badajoz | 3.10 | -0.30% |
| LOSS | Urawa Red Diamonds - FC Tokyo | 3.00 | -0.30% |
| LOSS | Hodd - Sogndal | 3.08 | -0.30% |
| LOSS | Real Noroeste Capixaba - Rio Branco ES | 3.20 | -0.30% |
| LOSS | Cavalier - Montego Bay Utd | 3.00 | -0.30% |
| LOSS | Slovan Liberec - Sparta Prague | 3.00 | -0.30% |
| WIN | Macarthur Rams (W) - Northern Tigers FC (W) | 3.20 | -0.30% |
| WIN | Aston Villa - Liverpool | 3.04 | -0.30% |