Lagarto vs CS Sergipe
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is CS Sergipe. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: CS SergipeValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.22. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.31% based on n=177 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie D (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives CS Sergipe a useful statistical edge. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. CS Sergipe is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Lagarto – CS Sergipe Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Lipno Steszew - Unia Swarzedz | 2.44 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Craigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W) | 2.34 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Union La Calera - Universidad de Chile | 2.29 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | Votoraty U23 - Guarulhos U23 | 2.08 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Vidar - Pors Grenland | 2.08 | 2.63% |
| WIN | Santa Clara U23 - Gil Vicente U23 | 2.01 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Lech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 2.25 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | Chrobry Glogow - LKS Lodz | 2.19 | 2.63% |