FK Siauliai II – FK Ekranas

Model: TIPPSA

FK Siauliai II vs FK Ekranas

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 55d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 56d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FK Ekranas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FK Ekranas

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

43/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.13First seen
Current2.26Now
Max odds2.50Highest point
Min odds2.13Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK Siauliai IIHOME
VS
FK EkranasAWAY
DLWLD
Recent form
DWLLL
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.20
Defensive weakness
2.40
2.00
Shots on target for
2.40
3.00
SoT conceded pressure
8.80
4.20
Home splitD-W-D2.00 scored / 1.33 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-L-L1.00 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.25. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.44% based on n=196 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Lithuania 1 Lyga (lt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.25
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.44% · n=196
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.44% · n=196
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 19.2% 7D: 16.3% 15D: 5.4% 30D: 1.9%
Model insight

FK Siauliai II – FK Ekranas Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.44% and 4.44%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample152
Win Rate42.8%
Profit-6.33u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCraigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)2.343.43%
LOSSUnion La Calera - Universidad de Chile2.293.59%
LOSSVotoraty U23 - Guarulhos U232.082.63%
LOSSVidar - Pors Grenland2.082.63%
WINSanta Clara U23 - Gil Vicente U232.012.63%
LOSSLech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)2.253.59%
LOSSChrobry Glogow - LKS Lodz2.192.63%
LOSSSC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva2.253.43%
Pick
2 @ 2.25
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.44% • n=196
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.44% • n=196
Start
Started 55d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 56d 5h ago
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