Model: TIPPSA

Valur Reykjavik vs Breidablik

PREDICTION

@ 2.05

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 17, 2026 10:15 PM

ResultLOSS3 - 2

StartStarted 55d 3h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=177

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=177

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 55d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Breidablik. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Breidablik

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

40/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.08First seen

Current2.06Now

Max odds2.38Highest point

Min odds2.06Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Valur ReykjavikHOME

BreidablikAWAY

WLLWW

Recent form

LWDWW

Avg goals scored

2.60

Defensive weakness

2.20

1.60

Shots on target for

4.60

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

8.20

4.20

Home splitW-L-W-W-L2.00 scored / 1.80 conceded

Away splitL-W-W-D-D1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.05. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.31% based on n=177 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland Premier League (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.05

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.31% · n=177

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.31% · n=177

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 5.3% 7D: 15.6% 15D: 4.7% 30D: -0.2%

Model insight

Valur Reykjavik – Breidablik Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.05. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.31% and 4.31%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample93

Win Rate41.9%

Profit-9.61u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Union La Calera - Universidad de Chile	2.29	3.59%
LOSS	Votoraty U23 - Guarulhos U23	2.08	2.63%
LOSS	Vidar - Pors Grenland	2.08	2.63%
WIN	Santa Clara U23 - Gil Vicente U23	2.01	2.63%
LOSS	Lech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)	2.25	3.59%
LOSS	Chrobry Glogow - LKS Lodz	2.19	2.63%
LOSS	SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva	2.25	3.43%
LOSS	Glasgow City (W) - Rangers (W)	2.05	2.63%

Pick

2 @ 2.05

Kickoff

Mag 17, 2026 10:15 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.31% • n=177

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.31% • n=177

Start

Started 55d 3h ago

Updated

Updated 55d 5h ago