Model: TIPPSH

Aris Limassol vs AEK Larnaca

PREDICTION

@ 2.98

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 22, 2026 6:30 PM

ResultLOSS3 - 4

StartStarted 49d 13h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.20% · n=29

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.20% · n=29

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 53d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Aris Limassol. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Aris Limassol

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

23/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Aris LimassolHOME

AEK LarnacaAWAY

LLLWL

Recent form

WDDWL

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.60

Defensive weakness

2.40

1.40

Shots on target for

6.60

5.00

SoT conceded pressure

5.60

4.80

Home splitL-W-W-D2.00 scored / 1.25 conceded

Away splitW-D-L-D-D1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.98. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.20% based on n=29 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Cyprus Division 1 (cy). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.98

V2 BandNONEROI -3.20% · n=29

V4 BandNONEROI -3.20% · n=29

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Aris Limassol. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Aris Limassol is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 22.9% 7D: 21.6% 15D: 8.9% 30D: 0.8%

Model insight

Aris Limassol – AEK Larnaca Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.98. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.20% and -3.20%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample29

Win Rate34.5%

Profit+0.37u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Kungsängens IF - Skiljebo SK	2.82	-2.37%
LOSS	Brazil (W) - USA (W)	3.09	-2.37%
LOSS	Panama (W) - Jamaica (W)	2.80	-2.37%
WIN	Atlantis - HIFK 2	2.77	-2.37%
WIN	Anapolis FC - Paysandu	3.00	-2.37%
LOSS	Suva FC - Lautoka FC	3.15	-2.37%
LOSS	HERA United (W) - FC Utrecht (W)	2.80	-1.00%
LOSS	Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka	2.89	-2.37%

Pick

1 @ 2.98

Kickoff

Mag 22, 2026 6:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -3.20% • n=29

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-3.20% • n=29

Start

Started 49d 13h ago

Updated

Updated 53d 20h ago