Araz FK – Zira IK

Model: TIPPSH

Araz FK vs Zira IK

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.69
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 2
StartStarted 73d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 73d 18h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Araz FK. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Araz FKGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

41/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.96First seen
Current2.95Now
Max odds3.96Highest point
Min odds2.95Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Araz FKHOME
VS
Zira IKAWAY
WWLLD
Recent form
LWLDW
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.20
Shots on target for
3.40
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
2.60
Home splitW-W-L-L-L1.40 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-D-D1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.69. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Azerbaijan Premier League (az). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.69
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 38.0% 7D: 26.2% 15D: 20.2% 30D: 5.7%
Model insight

Araz FK – Zira IK Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.69. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample58
Win Rate43.1%
Profit+7.08u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINHB Torshavn - NSI Runavik2.552.49%
LOSSLaholms FK - FC Trollhättan2.884.53%
WINKerry FC - Cobh Ramblers2.472.49%
WINVelez Sarsfield - CA Independiente2.492.49%
LOSSHuntsville City - Crown Legacy2.834.53%
LOSSEstudiantes Rio Cuarto - Banfield2.663.15%
LOSSIndependiente FBC - Deportivo Capiata2.764.53%
LOSSMSK Zilina B - FC Petrzalka2.622.49%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Sonderjyske - Viborg12.914.53%07 Aug 19:00
ACS UTA Batrana Doamna - Rapid Bucuresti12.552.49%07 Aug 20:00
Ljungskile - IK Oddevold12.562.49%08 Aug 13:00
Wehen SV - SC Preussen Munster12.662.49%08 Aug 14:00
Pick
1 @ 2.69
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Started 73d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 73d 18h ago
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